Preseason Rankings
North Alabama
Atlantic Sun
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.0#313
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.2#138
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#322
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#264
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.5% 3.0% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.3 15.7
.500 or above 11.6% 32.9% 10.8%
.500 or above in Conference 25.2% 43.6% 24.5%
Conference Champion 1.1% 2.8% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 22.0% 10.8% 22.5%
First Four0.9% 0.9% 0.9%
First Round1.1% 2.6% 1.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina (Away) - 3.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 31 - 61 - 12
Quad 48 - 79 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 78   @ South Carolina L 64-83 4%    
  Nov 12, 2019 47   @ Indiana L 58-80 2%    
  Nov 16, 2019 142   Samford L 71-78 26%    
  Nov 19, 2019 224   @ South Dakota St. L 71-80 22%    
  Nov 22, 2019 116   @ Louisiana Tech L 61-77 8%    
  Nov 27, 2019 353   Mississippi Valley W 77-65 85%    
  Nov 30, 2019 264   Morehead St. L 71-72 49%    
  Dec 04, 2019 297   @ Troy L 68-72 35%    
  Dec 17, 2019 140   @ UAB L 62-75 12%    
  Dec 20, 2019 352   @ Alabama A&M W 68-63 67%    
  Dec 28, 2019 18   @ Florida St. L 59-84 2%    
  Jan 02, 2020 298   Jacksonville W 75-73 56%    
  Jan 04, 2020 155   North Florida L 75-81 30%    
  Jan 09, 2020 87   @ Liberty L 56-74 6%    
  Jan 11, 2020 177   @ Lipscomb L 71-82 18%    
  Jan 16, 2020 336   Stetson W 77-71 69%    
  Jan 18, 2020 257   Florida Gulf Coast L 70-71 48%    
  Jan 23, 2020 320   @ Kennesaw St. L 71-73 43%    
  Jan 30, 2020 175   @ NJIT L 64-75 18%    
  Feb 01, 2020 298   @ Jacksonville L 72-76 37%    
  Feb 06, 2020 177   Lipscomb L 74-79 35%    
  Feb 08, 2020 87   Liberty L 59-71 16%    
  Feb 13, 2020 336   @ Stetson W 74-73 51%    
  Feb 15, 2020 155   @ North Florida L 72-84 15%    
  Feb 20, 2020 320   Kennesaw St. W 74-70 63%    
  Feb 27, 2020 175   NJIT L 67-72 34%    
  Feb 29, 2020 257   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 67-74 29%    
Projected Record 9 - 18 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.8 2.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 5.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 3.4 3.4 1.3 0.1 9.2 4th
5th 0.2 2.2 5.3 4.6 1.3 0.1 0.0 13.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.4 7.3 4.5 1.0 0.0 16.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 5.1 7.6 3.8 0.7 0.0 18.1 7th
8th 0.1 2.3 6.5 6.4 2.5 0.3 0.0 18.2 8th
9th 1.1 3.4 4.8 3.6 1.1 0.1 14.1 9th
Total 1.1 3.6 7.1 11.0 13.0 13.9 13.7 11.4 9.5 6.8 4.4 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 94.9% 0.2    0.2 0.0
13-3 61.5% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
12-4 23.6% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-5 5.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.1% 22.4% 22.4% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.2% 28.4% 28.4% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-3 0.5% 11.2% 11.2% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
12-4 1.3% 13.7% 13.7% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.1
11-5 2.5% 8.8% 8.8% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.3
10-6 4.4% 5.2% 5.2% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 4.1
9-7 6.8% 3.5% 3.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 6.5
8-8 9.5% 2.0% 2.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 9.3
7-9 11.4% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 11.3
6-10 13.7% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 13.6
5-11 13.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 13.8
4-12 13.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.0
3-13 11.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.0
2-14 7.1% 7.1
1-15 3.6% 3.6
0-16 1.1% 1.1
Total 100% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 98.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%